Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
35.98% ( -0) | 27.17% ( -0.02) | 36.85% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.95% ( 0.08) | 55.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% ( 0.07) | 76.31% ( -0.07) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( 0.04) | 29.29% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( 0.05) | 65.25% ( -0.05) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( 0.05) | 28.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( 0.06) | 64.6% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |