MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:57:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Casa Pia

Chaves
1 - 3
Casa Pia

Jo (45')
Langa (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Clayton (20', 82'), Dias (23')
Cardoso (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Chaves
Sunday, December 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, December 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Casa Pia

 While Casa Pia never really looked likely to trouble Porto last week, there was enough in their performance against Portimonense to suggest that the new manager's impact could be a positive one. Chaves cannot afford to lose, though, and are pretty good on their home patch recently. This looks like a very even contest on paper, and we feel these sides will not be split at full time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawCasa Pia
43.96% (0.319 0.32) 25.64% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 30.4% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (0.108 0.11)50.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.68% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (0.293 0.29)56.33% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)30.43% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.156 -0.16)66.63% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 43.95%
    Casa Pia 30.4%
    Draw 25.64%
ChavesDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Chaves vs Casa Pia

Chaves
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Casa Pia
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 30
Chaves
1-0
Casa Pia
Vitoria (42')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Casa Pia
1-2
Chaves
Nunes (28')
Hernandez (82'), Vitoria (90+1' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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