Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
32.23% ( 0.03) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 39.93% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.01) | 58.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.01) | 78.72% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% ( 0.02) | 33.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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