Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Portimonense |
45.52% ( -0.11) | 26.21% ( 0.03) | 28.26% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 53.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( -0.06) | 74.9% ( 0.06) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( -0.08) | 23.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.64% ( -0.12) | 57.35% ( 0.12) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0.03) | 33.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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