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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Braga

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Braga

Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga

 Braga have to keep churning out results to keep up with the likes of Benfica and Sporting, but this will not be an easy match for them. While Casa Pia have been poor in attack, their defensive performances have been very impressive, and they have only conceded more than one goal in a home game on one occasion this season. Braga will need to work for the points here, but we fancy them to get the job done, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBraga
22.45% (0.406 0.41) 23.63% (0.272 0.27) 53.91% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.705 -0.7)47.44% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.658 -0.66)69.65% (0.65100000000001 0.65)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-0.508 -0.51)17.51% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-0.887 -0.89)48.02% (0.883 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 22.45%
    Braga 53.91%
    Draw 23.62%
Casa PiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.095 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.45%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.42% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 5.47% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.91%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Braga

Casa Pia
6.5%
Draw
12.9%
Braga
80.6%
31
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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