Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace1 - 1Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to draw 1-1 with Crystal Palace in Thursday's M23 derby at Selhurst Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
31.29% ( 4.95) | 25.18% ( 1.44) | 43.53% ( -6.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -3.43) | 47.68% ( 3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -3.25) | 69.88% ( 3.24) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 1.78) | 28.65% ( -1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.53% ( 2.17) | 64.46% ( -2.17) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -4.07) | 21.89% ( 4.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.86% ( -6.59) | 55.14% ( 6.58) |
| Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace 31.29%
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%
Draw 25.17%
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.82)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 1.06)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.78) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.94)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.97)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.64)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.61)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.53% |
How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton
Crystal Palace
27.3%Draw
38.3%Brighton & Hove Albion
34.4%183
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
