Derby U21s1 - 4Newcastle U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Monday, April 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
10.79% ( 0.27) | 14.03% ( 0.21) | 75.18% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.93% ( -0.26) | 24.07% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.31% ( -0.35) | 43.69% ( 0.35) |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.47% ( 0.24) | 34.53% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% ( 0.25) | 71.25% ( -0.25) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.6% ( -0.13) | 5.4% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.84% ( -0.39) | 21.16% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 10.79% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 14.03% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 5.64% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 2-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.22% Total : 75.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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