Derby U21s1 - 6Stoke U21s
Kabeya (35'), Lewis (57')
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
for
We said: Derby County Under-21s 1-2 Stoke City Under-21s
With Derby's solitary point this season having come in recent weeks, they will possess a certain level of belief. However, we feel that the visitors should have enough quality in their ranks to edge a hard-fought fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
30.76% ( -0.01) | 22.94% ( -0.12) | 46.29% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 63.37% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.47% ( 0.55) | 37.53% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.24% ( 0.59) | 59.76% ( -0.6) |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.27) | 23.98% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.38) | 58.23% ( -0.39) |
Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( 0.25) | 16.63% ( -0.26) |