Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.