Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.27%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.57% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 4-1 (5.76%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.