MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 13:56:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Loughborough University Football Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 3
Saints U21s

Brown (60')
Kelly (76'), Perry (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armitage (9'), Amo-Ameyaw (57'), Doyle (90')
Hewlett (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 1-5 Boro U21s
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Saints U21s
Friday, March 17 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
8.64% (-0.567 -0.57) 12.28% (-0.423 -0.42) 79.08% (0.99300000000001 0.99)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.745 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.1% (0.238 0.24)21.9% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.24% (0.326 0.33)40.75% (-0.323 -0.32)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.90800000000001 -0.91)36.63% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.922 -0.92)73.42% (0.926 0.93)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.63% (0.19199999999999 0.19)4.37% (-0.1901 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.95% (0.589 0.59)18.04% (-0.586 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 8.64%
    Southampton Under-21s 79.08%
    Draw 12.28%
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 8.64%
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 12.28%
1-3 @ 8.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.84% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 6.41% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-5 @ 4.03% (0.104 0.1)
0-5 @ 4.01% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 3.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-6 @ 2.1% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 2.09% (0.131 0.13)
2-5 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
1-7 @ 0.94% (0.049 0.05)
0-7 @ 0.94% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 79.08%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')

Ibrahim (29')
rhs 2.0
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