MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:48:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 15, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Amo-Ameyaw (35'), Jeffcott (90+7' og.)
Amo-Ameyaw (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allen (79')
Jeffcott (31'), C (52')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton U21s 5-0 Saints U21s
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Derby U21s 5-1 Reading U21s
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 56.97%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
56.97% (0.206 0.21) 19.4% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.63% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 70.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.96% (0.16 0.16)26.05% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.73% (0.207 0.21)46.27% (-0.208 -0.21)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (0.097999999999999 0.1)9.42% (-0.0991 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.32% (0.232 0.23)31.69% (-0.233 -0.23)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 56.97%
    Derby County Under-21s 23.63%
    Draw 19.4%
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 56.97%
1-1 @ 7.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-3
Saints U21s
Brown (60')
Armitage (9'), Amo-Ameyaw (57'), Doyle (90')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!