Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Southend United |
28% ( -0.01) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 46.33% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.67% ( 0.02) | 51.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.84% ( 0.01) | 73.15% ( -0.01) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( 0) | 32.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( 0) | 69.44% ( -0) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( 0.01) | 22.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% ( 0.02) | 55.52% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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