Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
68.86% ( 0.18) | 17.97% ( -0.12) | 13.17% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.27% ( 0.43) | 37.73% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.03% ( 0.46) | 59.97% ( -0.46) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.06% ( 0.16) | 9.94% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.11% ( 0.37) | 32.89% ( -0.37) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.52% ( 0.19) | 40.48% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.91% ( 0.17) | 77.09% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.86% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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