Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
25.28% ( 2.81) | 23.19% ( 1.09) | 51.52% ( -3.9) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% ( -2.05) | 42.69% ( 2.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% ( -2.07) | 65.1% ( 2.07) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 1.23) | 30.42% ( -1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( 1.43) | 66.63% ( -1.44) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( -2.06) | 16.64% ( 2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.52% ( -3.83) | 46.48% ( 3.82) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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