Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.