Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Halifax Town |
53.35% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 21.57% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% ( 0.02) | 54.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( 0.01) | 75.54% ( -0.01) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( 0.02) | 20.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.37% ( 0.02) | 52.63% ( -0.02) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( -0) | 40.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% ( -0) | 76.72% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Halifax Town |
1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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