Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.