Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
37.46% ( 0.16) | 24.17% ( -0.03) | 38.37% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.84% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.32% ( 0.14) | 41.68% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.92% ( 0.14) | 64.08% ( -0.15) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0.14) | 22.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( 0.21) | 55.65% ( -0.22) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( -0) | 21.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( -0) | 54.96% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |