Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
37.35% ( -0.09) | 25.07% ( 0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( -0.13) | 45.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( -0.12) | 68.29% ( 0.12) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.22% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.56% ( 0.15) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% ( -0.03) | 58.4% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
> National League Full Table |