Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | York City |
48.27% ( -0.61) | 25.71% ( -0.02) | 26.02% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% ( 0.54) | 52.74% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% ( 0.46) | 74.37% ( -0.46) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.04) | 21.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.9% ( -0.06) | 55.1% ( 0.06) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.79% ( 0.83) | 35.2% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.04% ( 0.86) | 71.96% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 26 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
22 | Fylde | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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