Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
49.07% ( -0.74) | 23.27% ( 0.24) | 27.66% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -0.74) | 41.07% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( -0.76) | 63.47% ( 0.76) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( -0.55) | 16.94% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% ( -0.99) | 47.01% ( 0.98) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( -0.03) | 27.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( -0.04) | 63.38% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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