Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.