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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

 We believe that this fixture will present goalscoring opportunities for both teams, as the two sides are susceptible to lapses in concentration at the back. Therefore, we think that this affair will end level, but will be a high-scoring matchup due to the nature of both sides.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
58.67% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 20.54% (-0.13 -0.13) 20.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.31999999999999 0.32)35.46% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.353 0.35)57.5% (-0.346 -0.35)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.20399999999999 0.2)11.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.423 0.42)37.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.67%
    St Louis City 20.79%
    Draw 20.54%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Portland vs Saint Louis City

Portland Timbers
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Saint Louis City
23.1%
13
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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> Full Version


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