We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC
Given the calibre of finishers on each side, we could see at least a few goals in this one, and just as Banc of California Stadium has been a fortress for LA, the same can be said about Providence Park for the Timbers.
Home-field advantage, along with the desperation of needing a result to potentially clinch a playoff spot, should give the Timbers a slight edge over their opponents.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.