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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Oct 22, 2023 at 2am UK
Providence Park
Houston Dynamo

Portland
1 - 3
Houston

Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Portland
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 5-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

The teams have shown they have goals in them and we are expecting an open and end-to-end affair. We are also backing Portland Timbers to just about see off the threat of their visitors and carry the day in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
50.74% (0.169 0.17) 24.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 24.7% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (0.339 0.34)49.14% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (0.307 0.31)71.21% (-0.306 -0.31)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (0.20299999999999 0.2)19.37% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83% (0.331 0.33)51.17% (-0.328 -0.33)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.124 0.12)34.38% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.133 0.13)71.08% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 50.74%
    Houston Dynamo 24.7%
    Draw 24.56%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 24.7%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland
Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')
Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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