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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Colorado Rapids

Houston
5 - 1
Colorado

Quinones (3', 28'), Bassi (9'), Baird (41'), Artur (84')
Dorsey (48')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bassett (53')
Rubio (28'), Abubakar (57'), Bassett (63'), Priso-Mbongue (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Houston
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Austin
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Colorado Rapids

While Colorado Rapids have nothing to play for, Houston Dynamo will be looking to build momentum ahead of the start of post-season action. Despite the result, we are backing Olsen's men to take the positives from Thursday's draw against Montreal and claim all three points this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawColorado Rapids
68.48% (0.264 0.26) 18.46% (-0.14 -0.14) 13.06% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (0.352 0.35)40.33% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (0.362 0.36)62.71% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (0.164 0.16)10.75% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.28% (0.367 0.37)34.72% (-0.36900000000001 -0.37)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.67% (0.034999999999997 0.03)42.33% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.28% (0.032 0.03)78.72% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 68.47%
    Colorado Rapids 13.06%
    Draw 18.46%
Houston DynamoDrawColorado Rapids
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.69% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 68.47%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 3.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 13.06%

How you voted: Houston vs Colorado

Houston Dynamo
Draw
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Colorado Rapids
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
Aug 21, 2022 2am
Colorado
1-1
Houston
Acosta (19'), Gutierrez (65'), Barrios (85')
Acosta (80')
Dorsey (15'), Herrera (67')
Mar 20, 2022 12.30am
Houston
1-1
Colorado
Dorsey (68'), Rodriguez (78')
Trusty (37'), Rosenberry (45+1'), Rubio (62'), Wilson (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 44
Houston
0-1
Colorado

Carrasquilla (29'), Rodriguez (44'), Corona (52')
Badji (58')
Badji (10'), Bassett (75'), Shinyashiki (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 25
Houston
1-3
Colorado
Rubio (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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