Philadelphia3 - 1New England
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
for
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution
The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.How to watch
You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
56% ( 1.08) | 22.62% ( 0.29) | 21.38% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -2.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
