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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (25' pen., 42')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 New England have struggled massively with keeping the ball out of their net in recent matches, and it is hard to see Peay's men changing their ways against a Philadelphia side who arrive at Gillette Stadium in good form. The Union's goalless draw with Nashville was labelled 'boring' by some supporters, however a Decision Day meeting with the Revs should provide some considerable attacking entertainment.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.63% (-0.126 -0.13) 23.89% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.48% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.76% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (0.161 0.16)41.32% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (0.161 0.16)63.72% (-0.163 -0.16)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)19.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)50.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.164 0.16)24.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.232 0.23)59.37% (-0.236 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 43.63%
    Philadelphia Union 32.48%
    Draw 23.88%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
33.3%
6
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England
Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 24
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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