Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.