NY City2 - 1Orlando City
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City
The Pigeons are full of confidence at the moment, winning a pair of significant games, while Orlando looked great against Toronto, but to be fair, the Reds appeared deflated after being eliminated from postseason contention. Momentum and quality will favour NYCFC in this one, while we expect the Lions to hang back and try to impede the home side, who have many dependable match winners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
68.6% ( 0.09) | 18.94% ( -0.04) | 12.45% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% ( 0.05) | 44.03% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% ( 0.05) | 66.41% ( -0.05) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( 0.03) | 11.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.07% ( 0.08) | 36.93% ( -0.08) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.35% ( -0.05) | 45.65% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.55% ( -0.04) | 81.45% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 68.59% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.94% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.45% |
How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |