Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.