Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
39.56% | 26.73% | 33.7% |
Both teams to score 51.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.47% | 53.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.96% | 75.04% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% | 61.67% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |