Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
39.07% | 25.64% | 35.29% |
Both teams to score 55.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% | 48.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% | 70.8% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% | 24.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% | 59.01% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% | 26.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% | 61.89% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
1-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |