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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
38.11% ( -0.52) | 29.39% ( 0.03) | 32.5% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 43.53% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.68% ( -0.03) | 63.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.3% ( -0.03) | 82.7% ( 0.02) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( -0.34) | 32.12% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% ( -0.39) | 68.6% ( 0.39) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% ( 0.34) | 35.87% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.35% ( 0.35) | 72.65% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 32.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |