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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Blundell Park
AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (7' og.)
Glennon (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (34'), Ogundere (43'), Nightingale (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.1% (0.147 0.15) 27.48% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.42% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (-0.163 -0.16)59.6% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (-0.125 -0.13)79.93% (0.126 0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.239 -0.24)39.5% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.223 -0.22)76.19% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.09%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.42%
    Draw 27.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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