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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.1% ( 0.15) | 27.48% ( 0.02) | 25.42% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.15% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% ( -0.16) | 59.6% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% ( -0.13) | 79.93% ( 0.13) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0) | 25.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0) | 60.17% ( 0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% ( -0.24) | 39.5% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% ( -0.22) | 76.19% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |