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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.77% ( 3.45) | 25.54% ( 0.45) | 40.69% ( -3.91) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.51% ( -0.82) | 48.49% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.38% ( -0.75) | 70.62% ( 0.75) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 1.84) | 27.46% ( -1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( 2.31) | 62.95% ( -2.31) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -2.22) | 23.61% ( 2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -3.31) | 57.69% ( 3.32) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.5) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |