Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.