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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Portsmouth

Fleetwood
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Vela (30'), Heneghan (36'), Lawal (45'), Marriott (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamara (25')
Morrell (42'), Shaughnessy (77'), Lane (90+1'), Pack (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-2 Portsmouth

 Although Pompey may be experiencing a poor run of form, we still believe that they will do enough to beat the league's basement side, especially as they have won their last three away games against Fleetwood. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawPortsmouth
18.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 21.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 60.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)44.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.91% (0.053000000000011 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)38.3% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.038 -0.04)75.06% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)14.33% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.17% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 18.08%
    Portsmouth 60.31%
    Draw 21.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 18.08%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.31%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Portsmouth

Fleetwood Town
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Portsmouth
1-1
Fleetwood
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Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
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Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
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> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
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Fleetwood
Koroma (7')
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> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
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Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
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Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
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