Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 34.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 1-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (13.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
33.66% | 31.49% | 34.85% |
Both teams to score 38.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.51% | 69.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.09% | 86.91% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.23% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.38% | 37.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% | 74.4% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 33.65% | 0-0 @ 14.47% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.48% | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.74% Total : 34.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |