Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
75.58% | 15.25% | 9.16% |
Both teams to score 49.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% | 36.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.98% | 8.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.73% | 28.27% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.42% | 46.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.83% | 82.17% |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 11.89% 3-0 @ 10% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 6.31% 4-1 @ 4.82% 5-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 1.02% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.72% Total : 75.57% | 1-1 @ 7.21% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.26% | 0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.75% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |