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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Osako (53'), Patric (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Togashi (51' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Sagan Tosu

 Vissel Kobe have been fantastic so far this season, particularly defensively, having conceded the fewest goals of any team in the division. As such, we expect the hosts to emerge as narrow winners, keeping the pressure on top-of-the-table Yokohama F Marinos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vissel Kobe.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawSagan Tosu
56.28% (0.521 0.52) 22.29% (-0.221 -0.22) 21.43% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.626 0.63)42.79% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.61799999999999 0.62)65.19% (-0.617 -0.62)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.389 0.39)15.04% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.73 0.73)43.52% (-0.729 -0.73)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.81% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)70.48% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 56.28%
    Sagan Tosu 21.43%
    Draw 22.29%
Vissel KobeDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.28%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.43%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Vissel Kobe
Izumi (22')
Jul 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 19
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Vissel Kobe

Horigome (66')
Muto (79', 90+1')
May 14, 2022 7am
Gameweek 13
Vissel Kobe
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Iniesta (2'), Yuruki (14'), Muto (64'), Osako (90+1')
Dec 4, 2021 5am
Gameweek 38
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Vissel Kobe
May 30, 2021 6am
Gameweek 17
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Sagan Tosu
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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