MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:33:45| >> :600:6290099:6290099:
Turkey national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi
Latvia national football team

Turkey
4 - 0
Latvia

Akgun (58'), Tosun (83', 90+2'), Akturkoglu (87')
Ozcan (17'), Akturkoglu (63'), Bardakci (64'), Kahveci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Emsis (49'), Ozols (51'), Daskevics (56'), Tobers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83
All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 2-0 Armenia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

We said: Turkey 3-1 Latvia

After such an excellent result in Croatia, expectations will be raised even higher in Turkey this weekend, when the Crescent-Stars should book their ticket to Germany with a win. New coach Vincenzo Montella has built up a lot of good will already, so will be keen to retain it by securing a spot at Euro 2024 at the first opportunity. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawLatvia
72.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 16.19% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 11.37% (0.068 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.48% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (0.072000000000003 0.07)33.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)28.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (0.16699999999999 0.17)40.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (0.151 0.15)77.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 72.43%
    Latvia 11.37%
    Draw 16.19%
TurkeyDrawLatvia
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.72% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.19%
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.37%

How you voted: Turkey vs Latvia

Turkey
81.1%
Draw
11.3%
Latvia
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
2-3
Turkey
Emsis (51'), Tobers (90+4')
Oss (34'), Emsis (52'), Tobers (66')
Emsis (82')
Bardakci (22'), Under (61'), Kahveci (90+5')
Celik (32'), Kadioglu (41')
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
1-2
Turkey
Demiral (70' og.)
Jaunzems (3'), Cigaņiks (50'), Tarasovs (87'), Ozols (90+2')
Dursun (76'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Yilmaz (57')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
3-3
Latvia
Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Turkey
1-1
Latvia
İnan (77')
Tufan (32')
Sabala (91')
Tarasovs (9'), Vanins (34'), Sabala (91'), Visnakovs (92')
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Latvia
1-1
Turkey
Sabala (54' pen.)
Ikaunieks (45'), Visnakovs (45'), Freimanis (52')
Freimanis (92')
Kisa (47')
Turan (51'), Tore (53'), Kisa (65'), Altintop (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!