Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Armenia2 - 1Latvia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Armenia 2-1 Latvia
Latvia have lost both fixtures by one goal, and they could suffer a third loss on Monday, with Armenia anticipated to consolidate Friday's triumph by securing another success in Yerevan. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.
Result | ||
Armenia | Draw | Latvia |
43.93% ( 25.35) | 21.71% ( -0.62) | 34.36% ( -24.73) |
Both teams to score 69.78% ( 18.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.16% ( 17.06) | 29.83% ( -17.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.01% ( 18.15) | 50.99% ( -18.16) |
Armenia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% ( 24.62) | 14.5% ( -24.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.5% ( 33.34) | 42.49% ( -33.35) |
Latvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( -2.87) | 18.38% ( 2.87) |