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Atalanta logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Marseille

Atalanta
3 - 0
Marseille

Lookman (30'), Ruggeri (52'), Bilal Toure (90+5')
Ederson (47'), de Roon (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Atalanta BC book their spot in the Europa League final courtesy of a 3-0 win over Marseille in the second leg of their semi-final in Italy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMarseille
51.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.83%24.88%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1%45.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79%68.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53%32.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31%68.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 51.27%
    Marseille 24.89%
    Draw 23.83%
Atalanta BCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.55%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Marseille

Atalanta BC
79.7%
Draw
11.4%
Marseille
8.9%
271
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Marseille
1-1
Atalanta
Mbemba (20')
Balerdi (68')
Scamacca (11')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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