The Match
Match Report
Chancel Mbemba cancels out an opener from Gianluca Scamacca, as Marseille draw 1-1 with Atalanta BC in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final in France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Atalanta BC |
35.96% ( -0.07) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 38.75% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
