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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Atalanta logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Atalanta

Tchaouna (18')
Pasalidis (45'), Pasalidis (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scamacca (57'), Koopmeiners (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-3 Atalanta BC

Atalanta are hitting peak form as a long season nears its end, and even if they field a less familiar starting XI, the visitors are likely to leave Stadio Arechi victorious. Salernitana are Serie B-bound, and they may struggle to get any more points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
20.17% (1.059 1.06) 22.88% (1.009 1.01) 56.95% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-1.516 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-2.885 -2.89)46.99% (2.889 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (-2.749 -2.75)69.23% (2.753 2.75)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.549 -0.55)37.45% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.544 -0.54)74.23% (0.54899999999999 0.55)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-1.67 -1.67)16.27% (1.673 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (-3.123 -3.12)45.81% (3.127 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 20.17%
    Atalanta BC 56.94%
    Draw 22.87%
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.614 0.61)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.17%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.706 0.71)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.7 0.7)
0-2 @ 10.04% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.08% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.357 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.94%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Atalanta

Salernitana
15.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atalanta BC
76.7%
120
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
4-1
Salernitana
Muriel (47'), Pasalic (52'), De Ketelaere (83'), Miranchuk (89')
Piero Gasperini (41'), Ruggeri (77')
Pirola (10')
Pirola (40'), Maggiore (64')
May 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Salernitana
1-0
Atalanta
Candreva (90+3')
Lovato (59'), Coulibaly (76')

Scalvini (49'), de Roon (60')
Jan 15, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
8-2
Salernitana
Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Dia (10'), Nicolussi (56')
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Atalanta
1-1
Salernitana
Pasalic (88')
Demiral (37'), Luis Palomino (38'), Freuler (90')
Ederson (27')
Djuric (38'), Verdi (58')
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Salernitana
0-1
Atalanta

Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')
Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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