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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.01) | 60.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.72% ( 0.03) | 50.28% ( -0.03) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0) | 26.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( 0) | 61.88% ( -0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.33% ( 0.01) | 9.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.74% ( 0.03) | 32.26% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 20.7% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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