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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
12.47% ( -0.06) | 15.89% ( 0.02) | 71.64% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.96% ( -0.29) | 29.04% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.98% ( -0.36) | 50.02% ( 0.36) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.36% ( -0.3) | 35.64% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.59% ( -0.31) | 72.41% ( 0.31) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.86% ( -0.06) | 7.14% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.01% ( -0.16) | 25.99% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.47% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.89% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 71.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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