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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.42% ( -0.41) | 22.7% ( 0.09) | 24.89% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.22% ( -0.09) | 40.78% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.84% ( -0.09) | 63.16% ( 0.09) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( -0.17) | 15.63% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.36% ( -0.32) | 44.64% ( 0.32) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 0.21) | 29.72% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( 0.25) | 65.78% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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